Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies Prediction & Picks: Line, Spread, Over/Under – January 11

Published 9:18 pm Friday, January 10, 2025

The Minnesota Timberwolves (20-17) will look to build on a three-game win streak when they host the Memphis Grizzlies (24-14) on Saturday, January 11, 2025 at Target Center as just 2.5-point favorites. The matchup airs at 8:00 PM ET on FDSN and FDSSE.

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Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies Game Info & Odds

  • Date: Saturday, January 11, 2025
  • Time: 8:00 PM ET
  • How to watch on TV: FDSN and FDSSE
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
  • Location: Minneapolis, Minnesota
  • Venue: Target Center

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Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies Score Prediction

  • Prediction:
    Timberwolves 114 – Grizzlies 113

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Spread & Total Prediction for Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies

  • Pick ATS: Grizzlies (+ 2.5)
  • Computer Predicted Spread: Timberwolves (-0.4)
  • Pick OU:

    Under (232.5)

  • Computer Predicted Total: 226.9
  • The Timberwolves have covered the spread less often than the Grizzlies this year, sporting an ATS record of 15-22-0, compared to the 24-14-0 mark of the Grizzlies.
  • As a 2.5-point underdog or more in 2024-25, Memphis is 6-5 against the spread compared to the 9-18 ATS record Minnesota racks up as a 2.5-point favorite.
  • Memphis and its opponents have eclipsed the over/under 63.2% of the time this season (24 out of 38). That’s more often than Minnesota and its opponents have (17 out of 37).
  • As a moneyline favorite this year, the Timberwolves are 18-13, a better record than the Grizzlies have put up (5-7) as moneyline underdogs.

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Timberwolves Performance Insights

  • The Timberwolves are posting 108.9 points per game this year (22nd-ranked in NBA), but they’ve really played well on defense, ceding just 107.2 points per game (fourth-best).
  • This year, Minnesota is pulling down 43.6 boards per game (18th-ranked in NBA) and giving up 43.3 rebounds per contest (eighth-ranked).
  • The Timberwolves rank 22nd in the NBA with 24.7 assists per game.
  • Minnesota ranks 21st in the NBA with 15 turnovers per game this year. Meanwhile, it ranks 13th with 14.2 forced turnovers per contest.
  • When it comes to three-point shooting, things are clicking for the Timberwolves, who are making 15.1 treys per game (fourth-best in NBA) and shooting 37.7% from downtown (fourth-best).

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Grizzlies Performance Insights

  • In 2024-25, the Grizzlies are best in the league offensively (122.9 points scored per game) and ranked 21st defensively (114.8 points conceded).
  • On the glass, Memphis is second-best in the NBA in rebounds (48.6 per game). It is 10th in rebounds allowed (43.5 per game).
  • The Grizzlies are second-best in the league in assists (30 per game) in 2024-25.
  • In 2024-25, Memphis is second-worst in the league in turnovers committed (16.6 per game) but fifth-best in turnovers forced (15.7).
  • Beyond the arc, the Grizzlies are 12th in the NBA in 3-pointers made per game (13.9). They are 10th in 3-point percentage at 36.8%.

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