Wednesday’s contest that pits the No. 21 Memphis Tigers (8-2) against the Virginia Cavaliers (6-4) at John Paul Jones Arena has a projected final score of 74-66 (based on our computer prediction) in favor of Memphis, who is favored in this matchup by our model. Tipoff is at 7:00 PM ET on December 18.

According to our computer prediction, Memphis is a good bet to cover the spread, which currently sits at 4.5. The two teams are projected to exceed the 130.5 over/under.

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Memphis vs. Virginia Game Info & Odds

• Date: Wednesday, December 18, 2024
• Time: 7:00 PM ET
• TV: ESPN2
• Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
• Where: Charlottesville, Virginia
• Venue: John Paul Jones Arena
• Line: Memphis -4.5
• Point total: 130.5
• Moneyline (to win): Memphis -184, Virginia +152

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Memphis vs. Virginia Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Memphis 74, Virginia 66

Spread & Total Prediction for Memphis vs. Virginia

• Pick ATS: Memphis (-4.5)
• Pick OU: Over (130.5)

Memphis is 7-3-0 against the spread this season compared to Virginia’s 3-7-0 ATS record. The Tigers have gone over the point total in seven games, while Cavaliers games have gone over four times. The teams average 142.5 points per game, 12.0 more points than this matchup’s total.

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Memphis Performance Insights

• The Tigers’ +40 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 4.0 points per game) is a result of scoring 81.1 points per game (69th in college basketball) while allowing 77.1 per outing (307th in college basketball).
• The 31.8 rebounds per game Memphis averages rank 252nd in college basketball. Its opponents pull down 31.2 per outing.
• Memphis hits 1.3 fewer threes per contest than the opposition, 8.5 (124th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 9.8.
• The Tigers rank 112th in college basketball by averaging 99.8 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are 278th in college basketball, allowing 94.9 points per 100 possessions.
• Memphis has committed 13.6 turnovers per game (320th in college basketball play) while forcing 13.2 (110th in college basketball).

Virginia Performance Insights

• The Cavaliers’ +12 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 1.2 points per game) is a result of putting up 61.4 points per game (355th in college basketball) while allowing 60.2 per outing (13th in college basketball).
• Virginia is 310th in college basketball at 29.8 rebounds per game. That’s similar to the 30.1 its opponents average.
• Virginia connects on 8.2 three-pointers per game (155th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 8.0. It shoots 38.1% from deep, and its opponents shoot 32.5%.
• Virginia has lost the turnover battle by 2.5 per game, committing 11.5 (163rd in college basketball) while forcing 9.0 (352nd in college basketball).

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