NBA Best Bets: Warriors vs. Grizzlies Picks for January 4
Published 5:40 am Saturday, January 4, 2025
The Memphis Grizzlies (23-12) are 3.5-point underdogs against the Golden State Warriors (17-16) at Chase Center on Saturday, January 4, 2025. The game begins at 8:30 PM ET on NBCS-BA and FDSSE.
Before making a wager on this game, have a look at the best bets available on Saturday based on our computer predictions.
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Warriors vs. Grizzlies Game Info
- When: Saturday, January 4, 2025 at 8:30 PM ET
- Where: Chase Center in San Francisco, California
- TV: NBCS-BA and FDSSE
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
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Warriors vs. Grizzlies Best Bets
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Dennis Schroder Over 16.5 PTS
- The 16.5-point prop bet set for Dennis Schroder on Saturday is 0.3 higher than his scoring average on the season.
- This season, Schroder has scored beyond the points prop number in 12 of 34 games with a set total.
- The Warriors are the NBA’s 13th-ranked scoring team (112.3 points per game), while the Grizzlies are 21st defensively in terms of points conceded per game (114.8).
- Golden State is 11-4 when putting up more points than 114.8.
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Jaren Jackson Jr. Over 26.5 PTS
- The 26.5-point prop total for Jaren Jackson Jr. on Saturday is 4.2 higher than his season scoring average, which is 22.3.
- Jackson has gone over 19 times on a points prop this season (in 33 opportunities).
- Memphis is the NBA’s highest-scoring team offensively (123.5 points per game), while Golden State is ninth-ranked on defense (110.4 conceded).
- Memphis has put together a 22-5 record when it scores more than 110.4 points.
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Pick ATS: Grizzlies (+ 3.5)
- Against the spread, Golden State is 17-16-0 this year.
- Memphis is 23-12-0 against the spread this year.
- Against the spread as 3.5-point favorites or more, the Warriors are 6-9.
- The Grizzlies’ ATS record as 3.5-point underdogs or greater is 6-3.
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Pick OU:
Over (229.5)
- The Warriors and their opponents have gone over 229.5 combined points in 14 of 33 games this season.
- Grizzlies games this season have had a combined scoring total higher than 229.5 points in 23 of 35 outings.
- The average total in Golden State’s games this season is 225.7, 3.8 points fewer than this matchup’s over/under.
- Memphis’ average game total this season has been 232.8, 3.3 more points than this matchup’s over/under.
- The Warriors score the 19th-most points in the NBA this season, while the Grizzlies’ offense racks up the most.
- The Grizzlies have surrendered the 25th-fewest points in the league this season, while the Warriors have given up the seventh-fewest.
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Moneyline Pick: Grizzlies (+125)
- This season, the Warriors have won 11 out of the 17 games, or 64.7%, in which they’ve been favored.
- The Grizzlies have won in five, or 45.5%, of the 11 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year.
- Golden State has a record of 9-6, a 60% win rate, when it’s favored by -155 or more by bookmakers this season.
- This year, Memphis has won four of nine games when listed as at least +125 or better on the moneyline.
- The bookmakers’ moneyline implies a 60.8% chance of a victory for the Warriors.
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