Saturday’s game that pits the No. 15 Mississippi State Bulldogs (14-3, 2-2 SEC) against the No. 21 Ole Miss Rebels (15-2, 4-0 SEC) at Humphrey Coliseum should be a tight matchup based on our computer prediction, which projects a final score of 75-73 in favor of Mississippi State. Game time is at 6:00 PM ET on January 18.

According to our computer prediction, Ole Miss projects to cover the 5.5-point spread in its matchup versus Mississippi State. The total is listed at 145.5, and the two sides are projected to hit the over.

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Mississippi State vs. Ole Miss Game Info & Odds

• Date: Saturday, January 18, 2025
• Time: 6:00 PM ET
• TV: ESPN2
• Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
• Where: Starkville, Mississippi
• Venue: Humphrey Coliseum
• Line: Mississippi State -5.5
• Point total: 145.5
• Moneyline (to win): Mississippi State -235, Ole Miss +190

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Mississippi State vs. Ole Miss Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Mississippi State 75, Ole Miss 73

Spread & Total Prediction for Mississippi State vs. Ole Miss

• Pick ATS: Ole Miss (+5.5)
• Pick OU: Over (145.5)

Mississippi State has gone 9-8-0 against the spread, while Ole Miss’ ATS record this season is 12-5-0. In terms of going over the point total, games involving the Bulldogs are 9-8-0 and the Rebels are 6-11-0. The two teams score an average of 161.5 points per game, 16.0 more points than this matchup’s total. Mississippi State is 5-5 against the spread and 8-2 overall in its past 10 games, while Ole Miss has gone 7-3 against the spread and 9-1 overall.

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Mississippi State Performance Insights

• The Bulldogs average 82.8 points per game (30th in college basketball) while giving up 69.5 per contest (119th in college basketball). They have a +227 scoring differential overall and outscore opponents by 13.3 points per game.
• Mississippi State grabs 36.8 rebounds per game (23rd in college basketball) while allowing 31.5 per contest to its opponents. It outrebounds opponents by 5.3 boards per game.
• Mississippi State connects on 8.6 three-pointers per game (106th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 8.0. It shoots 32.7% from deep while its opponents hit 34.8% from long range.
• The Bulldogs rank 41st in college basketball by averaging 103.8 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are 75th in college basketball, allowing 87.0 points per 100 possessions.
• Mississippi State has committed 4.2 fewer turnovers per game than its opponents, averaging 9.4 (14th in college basketball action) while forcing 13.6 (55th in college basketball).

Ole Miss Performance Insights

• The Rebels’ +240 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 14.1 points per game) is a result of putting up 78.7 points per game (91st in college basketball) while giving up 64.6 per contest (31st in college basketball).
• The 31.9 rebounds per game Ole Miss accumulates rank 226th in college basketball. Their opponents grab 31.5.
• Ole Miss hits 8.8 three-pointers per game (88th in college basketball), 1.7 more than its opponents.
• Ole Miss has won the turnover battle on average this season, committing 8.8 per game (fifth in college basketball) while forcing 15.2 (18th in college basketball).

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