NBA Best Bets: Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies Picks for January 11

Published 11:39 pm Friday, January 10, 2025

The Minnesota Timberwolves (20-17) will try to extend a three-game winning streak when they host the Memphis Grizzlies (24-14) on Saturday, January 11, 2025 at Target Center as just 2.5-point favorites. The matchup airs at 8:00 PM ET on FDSN and FDSSE.

Hoping to make an informed wager on Saturday’s game? Discover the best bets available for this matchup (based on our computer predictions) right here.

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Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies Game Info

  • When: Saturday, January 11, 2025 at 8:00 PM ET
  • Where: Target Center in Minneapolis, Minnesota
  • TV: FDSN and FDSSE
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)

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Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies Best Bets

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Anthony Edwards Over 26.5 PTS

  • Saturday’s over/under for Anthony Edwards is 26.5 points. That’s 0.8 more than his season average of 25.7.
  • In 37 games this season with a points prop total, Edwards has hit the over 18 times.
  • The Timberwolves are at the 22nd spot in the NBA’s scoring rankings (108.9 points per game), while the Grizzlies concede the 21st-lowest amount of points (114.8 per game).
  • Minnesota has a 6-1 record when finishing with more points than 114.8.

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Jaren Jackson Jr. Over 20.5 PTS

  • Jaren Jackson Jr.’s 22.6 points per game are 2.1 points higher than Saturday’s over/under.
  • Jackson is 21-for-36 at scoring more than his points prop this season.
  • The highest-scoring NBA team (122.9 points per game) is Memphis, while Minnesota ranks fourth in the league defensively (107.2 conceded per game).
  • When scoring more points than 107.2, Memphis is 23-11.

Bet on Jaren Jackson Jr. Props with BetMGM

Pick ATS: Grizzlies (+ 2.5)

  • Minnesota has beaten the spread 15 times in 37 games.
  • Memphis’ record against the spread is 24-14-0.
  • The Timberwolves have an ATS record of 9-18 as 2.5-point favorites or greater.
  • The Grizzlies have an ATS record of 6-5 as 2.5-point underdogs or more.

Bet on this game’s spread with BetMGM

Pick OU:

Under (232.5)

  • Timberwolves games this season have featured more combined points than this contest’s total of 232.5 points seven times.
  • The Grizzlies have played 22 games this season that ended with a point total over 232.5 points.
  • The average total in Minnesota’s games this season is 218.6, 13.9 points fewer than this matchup’s over/under.
  • Memphis’ average game total this season has been 232.7, 0.2 more points than this matchup’s over/under.
  • The Timberwolves are the 22nd-highest scoring team in the NBA this year. The Grizzlies have scored the most points.
  • The Grizzlies have surrendered the 24th-fewest points in NBA play this season, while the Timberwolves have given up the fifth-fewest.

Bet on this game’s total with BetMGM

Moneyline Pick: Timberwolves (-130)

  • The Timberwolves have won 18, or 58.1%, of the 31 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
  • The Grizzlies have come away with five wins in the 12 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • This season, Minnesota has won 15 of its 27 games, or 55.6%, when favored by at least -130 on the moneyline.
  • This year, Memphis has won four of 11 games when listed as at least +105 or better on the moneyline.
  • Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Timberwolves have a 56.5% chance to win.

Bet on this game’s moneyline with BetMGM

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