Thunder vs. Grizzlies Prediction & Picks: Line, Spread, Over/Under – December 29

Published 7:19 am Sunday, December 29, 2024

The Western-leading Oklahoma City Thunder (25-5) are favored by 7.5 points as they look to hold off the No. 2 team in the conference, the Memphis Grizzlies (22-10). The squads square off Sunday, December 29, 2024 at 7:00 PM ET on FDSOK and FDSSE.

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Thunder vs. Grizzlies Game Info & Odds

  • Date: Sunday, December 29, 2024
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • How to watch on TV: FDSOK and FDSSE
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
  • Location: Oklahoma City, Oklahoma
  • Venue: Paycom Center

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Thunder vs. Grizzlies Score Prediction

  • Prediction:
    Thunder 117 – Grizzlies 111

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Spread & Total Prediction for Thunder vs. Grizzlies

  • Pick ATS: Grizzlies (+ 7.5)
  • Computer Predicted Spread: Thunder (-6.1)
  • Pick OU:

    Under (232.5)

  • Computer Predicted Total: 227.3
  • The Thunder have covered the spread less often than the Grizzlies this year, tallying an ATS record of 19-11-0, as opposed to the 22-10-0 mark of the Grizzlies.
  • Oklahoma City (11-6) covers a lower percentage of games when it is favored by 7.5 points or more this season (64.7%) than Memphis (3-0) does as a 7.5+-point underdog (100%).
  • When it comes to exceeding the total in 2024-25, Oklahoma City does it in fewer games (43.3% of the time) than Memphis (62.5%).
  • The Thunder have an .828 winning percentage as a moneyline favorite (24-5) this season while the Grizzlies have a .500 winning percentage as a moneyline underdog (4-4).

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Thunder Performance Insights

  • The Thunder are posting 114.9 points per game this season (10th-ranked in NBA), but they’ve really provided a lift on defense, surrendering just 103.2 points per game (best).
  • Oklahoma City ranks 14th in the NBA with 44.2 rebounds per contest, but it is allowing 47.5 rebounds per game, which ranks second-worst in the league.
  • The Thunder are averaging 25.5 dimes per game, which ranks them 16th in the NBA in 2024-25.
  • Oklahoma City has been getting things done when it comes to turnovers this year, ranking best in the NBA in turnovers per game (11.1) and best in forced turnovers per contest (18.2).
  • The Thunder are draining 13.5 three-pointers per game (15th-ranked in NBA) this season, while owning a 34.6% three-point percentage (22nd-ranked).

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Grizzlies Performance Insights

  • In 2024-25, the Grizzlies are best in the league offensively (124.0 points scored per game) and ranked 17th on defense (113.7 points allowed).
  • In 2024-25, Memphis is second-best in the NBA in rebounds (48.5 per game) and 14th in rebounds conceded (43.9).
  • This season the Grizzlies are second-best in the NBA in assists at 30.6 per game.
  • Memphis is the second-worst team in the league in turnovers per game (16.3) but fourth-best in turnovers forced (16.1).
  • The Grizzlies make 14.2 3-pointers per game and shoot 37.3% from beyond the arc, ranking 11th and 10th, respectively, in the league.

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