Saturday’s game at FedExForum has the No. 21 Memphis Tigers (9-2) squaring off against the Mississippi State Bulldogs (10-1) at 12:30 PM ET (on December 21). Our computer prediction projects a narrow 77-76 win for Memphis, so expect a tight matchup.

Based on our computer prediction, Memphis is projected to cover the spread (1.5) against Mississippi State. The two sides are expected to exceed the 150.5 over/under.

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Mississippi State vs. Memphis Game Info & Odds

• Date: Saturday, December 21, 2024
• Time: 12:30 PM ET
• TV: CBS
• Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
• Live stream: Watch this game on Paramount+ (Regional restrictions may apply)
• Where: Memphis, Tennessee
• Venue: FedExForum
• Line: Mississippi State -1.5
• Point total: 150.5
• Moneyline (to win): Mississippi State -125, Memphis +104

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Mississippi State vs. Memphis Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Memphis 77, Mississippi State 76

Spread & Total Prediction for Mississippi State vs. Memphis

• Pick ATS: Memphis (+1.5)
• Pick OU: Over (150.5)

Mississippi State is 6-5-0 against the spread this season compared to Memphis’ 7-4-0 ATS record. The Bulldogs have a 6-5-0 record hitting the over, while games involving the Tigers have a record of 7-4-0 when it comes to hitting the over. The teams score an average of 163.6 points per game, 13.1 more points than this matchup’s total.

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Mississippi State Performance Insights

• The Bulldogs outscore opponents by 16.4 points per game (scoring 84.1 points per game to rank 37th in college basketball while allowing 67.7 per outing to rank 97th in college basketball) and have a +180 scoring differential overall.
• Mississippi State wins the rebound battle by an average of 5.3 boards. It is pulling down 37 rebounds per game (32nd in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 31.7 per outing.
• Mississippi State knocks down 9 three-pointers per game (89th in college basketball) at a 34.1% rate (164th in college basketball), compared to the 8.2 its opponents make while shooting 36.3% from beyond the arc.
• The Bulldogs average 106 points per 100 possessions on offense (26th in college basketball), and give up 85.3 points per 100 possessions (70th in college basketball).
• Mississippi State has committed 4.9 fewer turnovers per game than its opponents, averaging 8.6 (third in college basketball action) while forcing 13.5 (85th in college basketball).

Memphis Performance Insights

• The Tigers are outscoring opponents by 3.8 points per game, with a +42 scoring differential overall. They put up 79.5 points per game (96th in college basketball) and give up 75.7 per contest (288th in college basketball).
• Memphis averages 32.3 rebounds per game (229th in college basketball) while allowing 30.8 per outing to opponents. It outrebounds opponents by 1.5 boards per game.
• Memphis hits 8.2 three-pointers per game (155th in college basketball) at a 41.9% rate (second-best in college basketball), compared to the 9.5 per contest its opponents make, shooting 35.7% from deep.
• Memphis forces 12.7 turnovers per game (143rd in college basketball) while committing 13.5 (317th in college basketball).

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